Thursday, April 11, 2019
Population and Economic Growth Essay Example for Free
race and Economic Growth auditionThe debate between positive and negative sides of nation growth is ongoing. Population growth enlarges labour bosom and, therefore, outgrowths stinting growth. A large universe also provides a large domestic market for the economy. Moreover, cosmos growth encourages competition, which induces technological advancements and innovations. Nevertheless, a large race growth is not only associated with food chore but also imposes constraints on the development of savings, foreign exchange and human resources.Generally, there is no consensus whether commonwealth growth is beneficial or detrimental to sparing growth in developing economies. Moreover, empirical express on the matter for developing economies is relatively limited (Savas, 2008). According to Population revisionist economists, population growth acts as an indispensable constituent for stimulating stinting development because a sizeable population provides the required consumer motive to generate favorable economies of scale in production, lower production costs, and provide a sufficient and low-priced labor supply to achieve high output levels (Todaro 1995, p. 03).Johnson (1999) pointed out that a high rate of economic growth is associated with high population growth and low economic growth is associated with low population growth. The wall socket of population and economic growth is as old as the discipline ofeconomics itself. The debate on the race between population andeconomic growth could be traced back to 1798 when Thomas Malthus published the book An Essay on the Principle of Population.Malthus claimed that there is a tendency for the population growth rate to surpass the production growth rate because population increases at a geometrical rate while production increases at an arithmetical rate. Thus, the unfettered population growth in a country could plunge it into acute poverty. However, the pessimist view has turn up unfounded for develo ped economies in that they managed to achieve a high level of economic growth and thus, two population and the real gross domestic product (GDP)per capita were able to increase (Savas, 2008).Similarly, many of the empirical studies that claimedthat a rapid population growth impeded economicdevelopment could not be considered reliable. This isbecause the statistical correlation between population blowup and economic growth has not addressed thecausal birth between the two (Repetto, 1985). The nature, direction and pattern of the causal relationship between population growth and economic growth has been the subject of very old debate among economists, demographers, policy-makers and researchers which is an propagate issue in development economics.Even though the liaison between population development and economic development has received extensive attention in the earlier period, it seems a stylized reality that it is lowering to obtain a robust effect of population on economic d evelopment today. Despite the occurrence that there are abundant research studies on the relationship between population and economic development, there is no universal consensus as to whether population expansion is beneficial or detrimental to economic growth. (SarbapriyaandIshita, 2012).Population and Economic GrowthThe debate on the relationship between population and economic growth could be traced back to Malthus. According to Malthus, population tends to grow geometrically, whereas food supplies grow only arithmetically. According to the Malthusian model, the causing goes in both directions. Higher economic growth increases population by stimulating earlier marriages and higher birth rates, and by cutting down mortality from malnutrition and other factors. On the other hand, higher population also depresses economic growth through diminishing returns.This dynamic interaction between population and economic growth is the centre of the Malthusian model, which implies a station ary population in the long-run equilibrium. Malthuss concern created sooner a stir in the early ni wampumeenth century England, leading to widespread calls for restraints on population growth. Still, the English population expanded quite rapidly throughout the nineteenth century, but by nigh evidence real income rose and the spectre of mass starvation declined(Sarbapriya and Ishita, 2012).One of the stylized facts about population in all contemporary developed nations is that over the past couple of centuries it has passed through three stages (i. e. , demographic transition). The first stage is characterized by high birth rates and high death rates, resulting in a slow population growth. In thesecond stage there was a decrease in death rates, tho the birth rates remained high as a consequence of increases in population. Finally, in the third stage, birth rate rates fell and combined with low mortality rates resulted in very low or no population growth.The usual explanations for t he time evolution of population relies generally on the idea that the value of economic conditions which includes massive improvements in public health led first to a reduction in the mortality rates, and finally to a decrease in the birth rates. As income per capita is a good deputy for economic conditions because it reflects, among other things, the impact of technology, education and health, the usual explanations therefore suggest that there is a well-knit link between per capita income and population.Indeed, the main theories put forward by economists to explain the evolution of population relates it to per capita income not aggregate output. This implies that there is a direct relation between per capita income and population size, an increase in income per capita leads to an increase in the size of population ((Sarbapriya and Ishita, 2012) The relationship between population and economicgrowth is complex and the empirical evidence is ambiguous, particularly concerning t he causes and impacts3. It can be demonstrated in a theoretical model that a large population growth could have both negative and positive impacts on productivity4.A large population may reduce productivity because of diminishing returns to more intensive use of land and other natural resources. Conversely, a large population could encourage greater specialization, and a large market increases returns to human capital and knowledge. Thus, the net relationship between greater population and economic growth depends on whether the inducements to human capital and expansion of knowledge are stronger than diminishing returns to natural resources. Therefore, it is important to examine the population and economic growth nexus (Savas, 2008).
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